The Next 200 Years: A Scenario For America And ... May 2026

Despite the overall optimism, Kahn does not suggest the path will be easy. He identifies "transitional problems" related to:

In their 1976 work, , Herman Kahn and his colleagues at the Hudson Institute present a bold, optimistic vision of human progress that stands in direct opposition to the "limits to growth" pessimism of the era. The book argues that humanity is in the midst of a "Great Transition" from a state of poverty and vulnerability to nature toward a future of universal affluence and mastery over the physical world. The Core Thesis: The Great Transition The next 200 years: a scenario for America and ...

Kahn envisions a world of 15 billion people who are "numerous, rich, and in control of the forces of nature," with a per capita gross world product of approximately $20,000 (in 1976 dollars). Despite the overall optimism, Kahn does not suggest